X
200 on it@ShafieSays · @BRICSinfo · @Kalshi +1
Called it another Trump victory lap nobody believes
Sardonic, mocking, weary
- Not over, he says it every week55%
- TACO, he lost and is backing off20%
- Markets and gas prices are the point12%
Today's digest01 · Lead story5 outletsupdated 04:00 UTC
The latest in US-Iran war599 developments
Rubio says there is "no need" to attack Iran as diplomacy gathers pace. Tehran denies talks with the US and says Hormuz stays closed until seven conditions are met, though its offer to reopen within two days stands. The UK maritime agency reported a tanker incident in the strait this morning, after 37 ships were attacked in October, a monthly high. The New York Times says Treasury Secretary Bessent moved onto a military base after Iranian threats, and 13 US aircraft left RAF Mildenhall over an Iran-linked threat.
The US and Iran are trading signals rather than talking: Rubio says there is no need to attack, Tehran denies any talks, and tankers in the Strait of Hormuz keep getting hit. In Ukraine, Russian strikes cut power and water in Kryvyi Rih while Ukrainian drones hit a Baltic port, as US-mediated talks with Russia in Abu Dhabi enter a second day.
Hot US inflation has traders betting on a half-point Fed hike next month, Nvidia faces pressure over its CEO's affair with an alleged Chinese spy, and Anthropic's IPO may price higher.
added 04:00Russia-Ukraine war · 762 developments
A drone attack left part of Kryvyi Rih without power and disrupted water and heating overnight. Russia also hit Kharkiv with a double missile strike, and the mayor said the consequences were still being established. Ukrainian drones struck the Ust-Luga port zone in Leningrad Oblast, starting a fire and knocking out a transformer substation; the governor said 146 drones were downed over the region. Ukrenergo will run hourly outage schedules on Nov 11.
From Reuters, The Kyiv Independent, Suspilne, Mash
added 04:00Russia-Ukraine peace talks prospects · 332 developments
The first day of US-led talks between Ukraine and Russia in Abu Dhabi covered prisoners, security guarantees and the postwar future; they resume Wednesday. Washington called for a "new" European security framework, and Zelensky said he is "happy" with the changed US approach. A 1,000-for-1,000 or 1,500-for-1,500 prisoner swap is under discussion. Rubio says guarantees must also be acceptable to Russia, and Kushner called the talks constructive.
From The Hindu, AFP, The Japan Times, France 24
added 04:00US October inflation report · 4 developments
US consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, above forecasts, sending Treasury yields surging. Fed officials have opened the door to more aggressive rate increases, and traders are betting on a rise in December, with the odds of a half-point move jumping. Global bonds tumbled and the dollar held firm, though stocks remained resilient.
From Bloomberg, Reuters
added 04:00China spy recruitment of Megaspeed executive · 28 developments
Republican Sen. Kevin Cramer, a senior member of the Banking Committee, urged Huang to step down as Nvidia CEO after revelations of his affair with Alice Huang, alleged to be a Chinese spy. Nvidia's board has opened an independent probe run by Wachtell Lipton, and shares fell over 6%. The Financial Times reports Commerce left her firm Megaspeed off the Entity List despite pressure from four agencies.
From The Japan Times, Reuters
added 04:00Anthropic IPO marketing · 10 developments
Anthropic is marketing 825 million shares at $70-78, seeking up to $64.4bn at a valuation of up to $1.4 trillion. After heavy demand, bankers are weighing a higher price that could lift the valuation to $1.5 trillion or more, the Financial Times reports. Its seven co-founders will sell $1.75bn of stock, and Nvidia plans to invest about $10bn. An Australian retail offer opened Wednesday.
From Techmeme, The Japan Times
added 04:00Israel's October election campaign · 283 developments
Herzog gave Gadi Eisenkot the mandate to form a government within 45 days, and the new Knesset was sworn in. Eisenkot's bloc launched a legislative push against caretaker PM Netanyahu's legacy in a heated first session. Both men have called for a national government, and a vote to replace Speaker Ohana is set for next Tuesday. A Haaretz probe found 1,653 fake "Iranian" accounts backing Netanyahu before the election.
From BBC World, The Japan Times, AFP
The House voted 211-204 to send Rep. Massie's Hegseth impeachment articles to committee, blocking a floor vote; Democrats vow to try again next year. Trump is expected to meet Xi in Shenzhen at APEC next week; Bessent urged "de-risk, not decouple" while China's ambassador cited "red lines". EU Council President Costa kept Ukraine financing talks on the late-November agenda despite Merz's appeal; Fico threatens to block the EU budget too. A Florida federal judge ruled Trump's $10bn defamation suit against the BBC can proceed, but dismissed his unfair trade practices claim. Salvadoran forces destroyed the 400 Mawozo gang's headquarters in Haiti, and Prime Minister Fils-Aime praised President Bukele. Nine Kennedy family members moved to join a lawsuit to block Trump's 250ft Arlington arch, saying it would shadow JFK's grave.
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01:10 · Reuters
Rubio sees 'no need' to attack Iran as Tehran denies talks and Hormuz stays shut
US-Iran war00:05 · Reuters
Drones cut power in Kryvyi Rih; Ukraine hits Russia's Ust-Luga port
Russia-Ukraine war01:00 · AFP
Abu Dhabi talks end first day with US pushing 'new' security framework
Russia-Ukraine peace talks prospects02:00 · Bloomberg
Hot US inflation fuels bets on a half-point Fed hike in December
US October inflation report02:30 · Bloomberg
Hot US inflation fuels bets on a half-point Fed hike in December
US October inflation report02:30 · Reuters
Hot US inflation fuels bets on a half-point Fed hike in December
US October inflation report03:50 · Reuters
Republican senator calls on Nvidia's Jensen Huang to resign over spy affair
China spy recruitment of Megaspeed executive00:30 · AFP
Eisenkot bloc targets Netanyahu's legacy as new Knesset convenes
Israel's October election campaign00:20 · Al Jazeera English
Hegseth's future as Pentagon chief00:34 · Al Jazeera English
Hegseth's future as Pentagon chief01:44 · AFP
Hegseth's future as Pentagon chief00:00 · Reuters
Trump's $10bn defamation suit against BBC01:20 · Reuters
Trump's Arlington triumphal arch lawsuitX took Trump's 'effectively over' claim as the latest in a long run of declared victories and mostly rolled its eyes, Reddit fixated on the tankers still being hit, and 4chan mostly talked past it.
@ShafieSays · @BRICSinfo · @Kalshi +1
Called it another Trump victory lap nobody believes
Sardonic, mocking, weary
r/Conservative · r/worldnews
Said the tankers still burning mean nothing's over
Dry, skeptical, mildly alarmed
The U.S. and Iran both continue to blast ships in the Gulf of Hormuz. It's some kind of bizarre target practice.
Nothing in the article or the article's actual title suggests that the "Iran War" is over, Trump just said their military is over, which he's said for months.
Doesn't even have the stomach to finish what he started. Short of regime change, this just pushed back the clock.
/pol/
Off-topic, slurs and housing rants
X argued about Trump's credibility and the market angle; Reddit's few comments went to the still-burning tankers and the mines, and the story's framing as a 'war over' claim; 4chan's thread was almost entirely off-topic, so it hardly reacted to this story at all.
Trump has declared the war over so many times that this claim means nothing, and the strait and strikes tell the real story.
Reading the claim as a retreat: Trump is caving under market and political pressure, and calling it 'over' admits the war was lost or went nowhere.
The announcement is aimed at oil prices and stocks, so people chase the rally or call it market manipulation.
Whatever Trump says, the mines and attacks on tankers continue, so the strait is still shut and the war is still on.
Holding fire while keeping forces ready is the right posture, and Iran should take the hint.
Heavy on most-liked posts and reply threads under @ShafieSays and @BRICSinfo, which are dominated by the same 'he says this every week' joke; some crypto bullish posts and non-English quotes.
Only 28 reactions, about 15 on topic; a couple are general climate or oil-rant comments that are noise; the thin sample is mostly from r/worldnews.
The Persia/Israel general thread's sample was almost entirely unrelated chatter and hateful noise; no on-topic reactions to the 'effectively over' claim, so no read on this story.
How each outlet put “Rubio sees 'no need' to attack Iran as Tehran denies talks and Hormuz stays shut”, in the order they posted. Bias tracking will score each one; for now, read them side by side.
“US evacuates 13 military aircraft from second UK base as new Iran threat raises alarm More than a dozen U.S. Air Force aircraft left RAF Mildenhall after a reported Iran-linked threat triggered the second-highest…”
“US Treasury chief Bessent moved to military base after Iranian threats, NYT reports US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently moved out of his home and onto a military base after Iranian threats against his life,…”
“Tankers continue to burn in the Middle East despite hopes for de-escalation There is little sign of attacks abating in November, after 37 ships were attacked in October, the highest monthly total since the start of the…”
“Rubio says 'no need' to attack Iran as diplomacy gathers pace Tehran said its offer to reopen Hormuz within two days — if Washington agreed to a raft of conditions — remained on the table”
“UKMTO reports tanker incident in Hormuz Strait UKMTO reports tanker incident in Hormuz Strait The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations said it received the report of an incident involving a tanker in the Strait of…”
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